Friday, May 30, 2008

Above Average Hurricane Season Expected

I'll keep it on the hurricane topic since we are almost at the start of the season. Incase you forgot, the Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1-November 30th, with the peak of the season in early September. I'll recap the predictions again for this year. NOAA is predicting another active hurricane season. On average this is what you can expect:
Named Storms: 11
Hurricanes: 6
Major Hurricanes (cat 3+):2

2008 Prediction
Named Storms: 12-16
Hurricanes: 6-9
Major Hurricanes (cat 3+): 2-5

The factors leading to a above average season are the multi-decadal signal of climate conditions that have lead to active seasons since 1995. Also, favorable winds, low wind shear, and high pressure in the upper-atmosphere over favorable tropical development areas contribute to the above average forecast.

This first name of the 2008 season is Arthur.

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